Despite Sagging Stock, eMerge
To Be Cash-Flow Positive Soon
By Colleen Schreiber
SEBASTIAN, Fla. — eMerge Interactive Inc., the unique new company
that is trying to become the beef industry's leading technology
partner, has hit some rocky times. At least that's what their stock
price would indicate.
And as if the woes of the stock market weren't enough, the company
also recently laid off approximately 35 corporate and service support
associates, nine percent of their total workforce, primarily due to
discontinuation of their NutriCharge and Infrared Imaging Products.
Chief Executive Officer Charles Abraham, however, says eMerge is
here to stay and is well on its way to proving it.
Publicly traded on NASDAQ, eMerge stock is currently valued at
about $5 per share, down 90-plus percent from its 52-week high of
$70.50. With those kind of figures, Abraham's statement might seem
open to question. But Abraham points to the whole technology sector, a
vast majority of which is in the tank right along with eMerge stock.
Stock price, he insists, has nothing to do with his company's
ability to stay in business. The key is cash flow. The stock price is
an assigned value that Wall Street has given to the company, he
explains.
"At $4 a share, that’s roughly $150 million or so. We think
that’s outrageously low, given our asset value.
"The stock price concerns us, but it doesn’t threaten
us," Abraham reiterates. "We are confident that we have
built a business model to withstand the ups and downs of the stock
market and whatever the tech stocks do, no matter how long it
takes."
Instead of over-spending money on advertising and marketing of
on-line software products, like many of the dot.com companies, Abraham
points out that eMerge has put its money into "bricks and
mortar", assets that generate real revenues and real dollars.
Their bricks and mortar are represented by 13 interactive livestock
marketing and order buying facilities with offices in nine states. The
five most recent acquisitions, added just a few weeks ago with a sixth
in the works, complete projected acquisitions for the 2000-2001 year.
"We have a basis to sustain our business while we implement
our technology," Abraham says. "It’s very difficult for us
to distinguish ourselves in this climate from other Internet companies
until we’ve demonstrated that we can get cash-flow positive."
eMerge, he says, is expected to reach that goal this year.
"We think we have demonstrated our ability to manage our
money," Abraham adds. "Our financials are right on target to
what we projected.
"Pay attention to the cash flow situation at eMerge," he
reiterated. "Pay attention to the management team. We have to
balance the checkbook and keep it balanced as we grow. We have enough
wherewithal with the acquisitions that we've done to run a very
healthy technology company within that means."
Just what is eMerge?
"We are a technology company involved in the cattle
business," Abraham says. "That’s an important distinction
to understand. We are not just another order buying company, nor are
we another dot-com company.
"Our vision is to become the beef industry’s technology
partner. We want to be a state-of-the art neutral player."
Over the past 12 months or so, eMerge has been focused on gaining
critical mass through acquisitions.
"I don’t believe we could have implemented our business
model without doing that first," Abraham points out. "Our
five-year game plan was to market eight million head. We've gotten 50
percent of the way there in a year."
In terms of cattle transactions, growth at their Austin facility
roughly tripled. The number of head marketed through that facility
grew from 30,000 to 150,000. Overall, eMerge's gross revenue grew from
$44 million in 1999 to $476 million in the first nine months of 2000.
"You won't see that kind of growth rate very often. We only
made $266,000 in gross margins in 1999. We made $5.4 million through
the first nine months of 2000. We grew 10-fold. We don’t expect
these rates to continue per se¼ "
In 2001, eMerge expects to market four million head through
CattleinfoNet, not only through online auctions and brokering
services, but also through onsite sales at their interactive
facilities and through their order-buying service. They also expect to
electronically identify and track at least one million head through
their database system.
"We’ve been building this iceberg," the CEO explains.
"Right now we just have a little ice sticking up. But, while we
have been working on acquisitions, we have been building on the
technology infrastructure. We have about 100 people in Sebastian
dedicated to developing the technology.
"We think now is the time to retrench and focus more on
expanding the business model and focus on executing the technological
vision and bringing the strength of it to bear."
That technological vision is broad, but the primary goal, Abraham
says, is to build a state of the art network that facilitates safe and
timely flow of critical information and commerce. eMerge believes the
best way to deliver the technology to the largest number of producers
quickly is to put themselves in the middle of the marketing chain.
Thus the reasons for the acquisitions. However, Abraham says, eMerge
is not overtly trying to eliminate anyone in the system.
"We don’t raise cattle, feed them or kill them, ever. We had
one employee who put some on feed in the company's name. He was fired.
"We try not to own them," he continues. "We do
market them and manage the physical flow as part of a marketing and
information network. What we’re trying to do is create a very
efficient system for customers' use. We don’t need to be 'buy low
and sell high.' We need to be neutral so that we can objectively help
match buyers and sellers.
"What people don’t understand is that the system in place in
the industry is very inefficient and very expensive," he
continues. "Whether we like to admit it or not, the industry is
paying somewhere around $40 to $50 per head, not just in commissions,
but in lost weight, stress, health, etc. due to the excessive number
of times an animal changes hands in today's marketing system."
eMerge is currently pocketing about $6 per head gross profit on
cattle that go through their system, but the company would like to see
that number go to $10 to $15 a head. It's a reasonable figure, Abraham
says, if in return they can save the industry an additional $15 to $20
a head. Abraham believes several times this amount can be created
through value-added programs such as preconditioning, sorted sales,
EID, etc.
A lot of their success, the CEO admits, is gated by people’s
willingness to adopt and to accept and trust in their vision and their
ability to be a neutral third party. Abraham reminds that because
eMerge is a public company there can be no hidden agendas.
"Everything we do is available for public scrutiny."
Still some in the industry view eMerge as an outsider because they
went outside the industry and acquired the money from Wall Street and
then in turn bought their way into the cattle business rather than
doing it with their own sweat and blood and own money.
"That’s true," Abraham says. "But to do what we’ve
done took a lot of money. Either the industry was going to have to
invest more checkoff dollars to do it, or get it from Wall Street. The
fact that we got it from Wall Street is a good thing, we think,
because the industry didn’t have to pay for a somewhat risky
proposition."
Why would Wall Street want to invest in the cattle industry? And
just what does Wall Street know about the cattle business, anyway?
"Wall Street didn’t invest in the cattle industry,"
Abraham reiterates. "They invested in a technology company
focused on the cattle industry. At the time of our IPO, people
believed that Internet commerce and Internet technology was going to
release all kinds of new opportunity for increased profit,
productivity and quality.
"We still very, very strongly believe that," Abraham
says. "I think most people still believe that, but many also see
that some of the early business models were fundamentally
flawed," he continues. "Some of those early business models
amounted to nothing more than a software program that resided on the
Internet. They were a cost to the industry with relatively little
value."
Abraham says all of their acquisition partners signed five-year
contracts, but even without contracts the CEO says he's not concerned
about any of them jumping ship during this building phase.
"The day of the black book is going to be limited over the
next five years," Abraham says. "With all the technology,
you can’t just go out with a black book and replicate what’s being
done by eMerge.
"The guys who are our partners genuinely want to change the
industry. Without exception, they believe in what we’re trying to
get done. Most of them came on board with relatively little cash, but
a lot of stock, and that, in my opinion, is the strongest vote of
confidence. These people who we acquired were not ones who were
raising their hands wanting to be bought."
Many question the amount of capital it took to acquire these
businesses. Are they in fact spending their money wisely?
"We think we are. The question to ask is whether managing
information flow and individual animals and cleaning up the marketing
system a wise thing to do. If the answer to those two questions is
yes, then we've spent our money wisely, and ultimately we'll get paid
for it," he remarks. "If we've missed something big in our
thought process, then yes, we've spent some money that we shouldn't
have spent.
"We're listening very hard to the industry through our
advisory board," he continues, "and with their help trying
to discern what is best for the industry."
The heart of eMerge's strategy is the CattleinfoNet business
network, which relies on three key components to add previously
unrealized value throughout the beef-supply chain: an efficient
e-marketplace where one can buy and sell cattle as well as buy cattle
business-related products, a powerful information-management
infrastructure, and value-enhancing technologies.
The Internet is what holds the platform together.
"We began developing Internet tools and moving into Internet
commerce because we believed the flow of information was
critical," Abraham explains. "We couldn’t get information
to flow the way we needed it to flow through the existing marketing
system. So we invested in a marketing system. We put ourselves in a
position to help the technology touch a much broader audience.
"Now we're attempting to streamline that marketing system, and
in turn, that streamlining process should help lessen stress on
animals, improve animal handling, reduce costs and add real value.
eMerge, Abraham says, has not developed anything new. They are
merely adapting available concepts so they can be used on a much
broader, commercialized scale.
Their interactive website, CattleinfoNet.com, Abraham says, is
getting much more exposure. To date they have over 20,000 site
registrations, with some 800 unique visitors per week. The website
focuses on four key areas: industry-specific content such as news,
weather, and market pricing; subscription-based information
applications where feedyard managers, for example, can access things
like performance information on their yard; an e-marketplace for both
cattle and products; and "community", which is still under
development.
The interactive marketplace where cattle can be bought and sold
online, either through their brokerage service or online auctions, is
seeing positive response as well.
"There’s a lot of people who come to our site to see what
cattle we have for sale and then they call us," says Scott
Sanders, vice president of cattle sales. "There’s a lot of
people who go to our website and see what feeder cattle are bringing.
Now, is that an online transaction? Maybe not, but did the Internet
aid in that transaction? Most definitely."
"We have built this network of communications," Abraham
adds. "Even though some of it is by telephone and some by
Internet, our ability to match buyers and sellers has increased
dramatically and in that way we are helping to bring value to the
producer."
Since its launch in January 2000, the company has had approximately
12 Internet sales and each has been more successful than the last. In
their January online cattle auction, more than 9000 head of cattle
were offered, more than double the number from their December sale.
Approximately 140 buyers from feedlots across the nation bid on 66
lots of cattle from 11 states, including three lots of premium animals
that had been process-verified through eMerge's LeMaster Livestock of
Gaffney, South Carolina. The sale took 2.5 hours.
The management team fully realizes that their sales will never be
100 percent Internet-based.
"It’s very difficult to take an acquisition that has sold
220,000 cattle annually and say, 'okay, all these are now going to be
sold over the Internet,' when most of his customers are used to
calling him on the phone," Abraham points out.
"It’s not our role to force people into this new marketing
method, it’s our role to make it available and make it as
user-friendly as possible."
"When we do an acquisition, we don’t want to stunt their
growth or stunt their profit. We don’t want to automatically force
them to change. What we bought was their reputation, a good customer
base, and a good source of cattle that we hope will eventually evolve
into Internet sales," he explains.
eMerge wants to provide services to those in the beef industry, no
matter whether or not they market their livestock through them. The
marketing aspect of buying and selling on the Internet, Abraham
explains, is disconnected from the information flow in the sense that
the information flow can still occur. However, the company believes
that a combination of the two will send the greatest value back to the
producer.
The company unveiled the next generation of its CattleinfoNet
Interactive Manager, scheduled for a first quarter release.
Approximately 300 feedyards across the U.S. currently plug into the
network via the eMerge Interactive Platform, a satellite
hardware/software system designed to provide high-speed Internet
connectivity in rural areas. Using the eIP, they are able to connect
to a wealth of industry information, view quality videos of available
cattle, participate in real-time premium network auctions, buy
products and supplies online while managing their inventory records,
and enhance their management practices using Interactive Manager.
The new version will allow users to compare their own operations'
performance to regional benchmarking data, and to quickly pinpoint and
diagnose problems that could be draining their profitability, down to
the pen and lot level.
Abraham admits this part of their program is moving more slowly
than they had hoped, but he says it's not so much because of a lack of
acceptance as it is in getting the technology perfected.
"We've had some technological challenges. Getting the
interfaces right was problem one, and problem two was communication
linkage itself and getting the consistent, reliable flow through the
Internet. Phone line costs have been high, but we think that’s going
to come down quickly and the reliability will improve.
"Problem three is getting the data put in right in the first
place and putting in the necessary filters where we catch mistakes and
feed it back and get it fixed.
"Getting the technology to where it works on a mass scale is a
significant challenge," he reiterates. "That's why we've
been taking baby steps."
eMerge wants to be a key player in developing a truly value-based
marketing system, a goal they believe can be achieved in five years.
Tracking individual animals and managing the flow of information is a
critical piece to that puzzle. To enable this, the company also
recently debuted its CattlinfoNet-enabled process verification
solution featuring the CattleLog, cattle tracking and
information-management system.
Abraham says it cost the company approximately $20 million to put
the infrastructure in place that will ultimately allow animals to be
tracked and data managed from birth to plate. Managing that
information, he says, is perhaps the most critical piece to capturing
real value.
Currently, only about five to 10 percent of the cattle that pass
through eMerge's hands are actually being tracked. Thirty to 35
percent of the cattle transactions through their Austin facility occur
over the Internet. eMerge hopes to market eight million head over the
next five years, and of that total they want to track and process
verify at least 30 percent or 2.5 million head.
"If we can do that, then we can begin to enable the building
of real branding strategies," Abraham says. "The beef supply
today is brandable with very little change," he adds. "The
reason the industry has difficulty branding today is that right now we
mix all of these different products together and we call it a
commodity. If you could truly know what was what, there’s potential
to brand."
In 1999, Professional Cattle Consultants, now part of eMerge, was
commissioned by Ranchers Renaissance to handle their data management.
That contract was recently renewed with eMerge. To date, eMerge is
keeping track of individual data on 150,000 animals annually. With a
password, members of the alliance can go online and look at feedyard
data, ranch data and kill data electronically.
Abraham fully admits that the 150,000 head at Ranchers Renaissance
is only a drop in the bucket and a very small drop at that,
considering their sizable goal overall.
"There’s a long way between here and there, but first we
have to get a system that works. This is a beta program. A commercial
version will roll out in the first quarter of this year."
Abraham, like many in the industry, believes that a voluntary
national animal identification program rather than a mandatory program
is needed.
"One of the most inefficient things the industry can do is to
have a mandatory process-verified system," he stresses.
Management of the data, he believes, should be left up to a
"for-profit" entity rather than the government.
"Then, the only way that the for-profit entity can put a tag
in an animal is if it can deliver value to you, the producer."
eMerge would certainly like to be the manager of the national
database, Abraham concedes.
"What the industry needs more than anything is something that
works reliably, safely and protects the information. We can do that,
and as long as it's not mandated then we’ll be out there trying to
beat the predominant provider. Competition is healthy. We think we’re
in a position to get there because of the network we built. You have
to start with the input of data, and there’s no one in a better
position to capture data on four million head in year 2001 than eMerge.
I am very confident that if the industry asked us, that within six
months, we could track 28 million head very reliably, very safely.
We've built the infrastructure and it's ready to be used now."
Will there be a time when eMerge will not be so dependent on cattle
sales for cash flow?
"No," Abraham admits. "As long as the whole industry
doesn't want to go to a retained ownership business model, cattle
sales for cash flow will always be a significant component of what we
do."
That's not to say that their technology will not be a significant
contributor to their bottom line.
"We figure it will be a 60-40 split, where 60 percent of our
income comes from commissions and 40 percent from technology,"
Abraham says. "Right now it's about 99-1. Clearly, we want more
of our revenue to come from technology."
eMerge is hoping to cash in big on one of their most promising
pieces of technology, the commercialization of their fecal detection
system. It will be a dividend, Abraham assures, that the entire
industry will participate in.
The technology is currently being beta tested by one of the big
three packers.
The goal, the CEO says, is to take the cost of food safety
inspection down by 50 percent while making it much more effective.
"USDA implemented a zero-tolerance policy a year ago. That
policy is fundamentally non-implementable today for contamination not
visible with the naked eye because it’s all manual inspection."
The commercial application, set to debut in 2001, will begin in the
nation's beef packing plants, facilitating broad-scale compliance with
USDA "zero tolerance" standards for fecal contamination and
further help packers control the environment that hosts bacteria,
Abraham explains. Future uses for the technology include food
retailers, restaurants and other industry segments.
Will eMerge still be in business a year or two years from now,
given the stock prices and everything else?
"Our answer is a wholehearted yes, absolutely yes,"
Abraham concludes.
"It doesn't mean we won't have a tough time. We're here for a
long time if the customers embrace us. If the industry says to us what
we're doing has no value, then we won't survive, but the industry gets
that vote.
"We think that the marketing and information system must go
together to solve the problems in this system that is so
fragmented," he continues. "We believe it has real value.
All we have to do is demonstrate that value.
"To do what we’re doing is very easy to talk about, but it's
very hard to do well. That’s why we think it needs to be done by a
technology company.
"Anyone who is considering attacking the problem should be
prepared to invest at the level that we have, both in technology and
understanding the marketing channel. It's a long, tough haul. We have
designed our company specifically for the task. We bet the whole ball
of wax on it — $130 million."
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