Plains Feedlots Facing Effect
Of Shipping Tangles On Grain
By David Bowser
AMARILLO With the local feed grain harvest in
full swing, area cattle feeders don't appear worried
about a shortage of corn or grain sorghum due to
transportation problems, but if the railroads can't get
their problems straightened out, feedyards in the Texas
Panhandle and Western Oklahoma could be facing problems
with the new year.
"It is not time to push the panic button
yet," says Jim Gill, marketing director for the
Texas Cattle Feeders Association, "but future
discussions with railroads may be needed to insure
continued service to this area."
A shortage of rail cars and railroad engines is being
blamed for delays of up to 15 days in Nebraska. Arkansas
poultry producers are shipping grain by truck, adding as
much as 25 cents per bushel to their cost. In the Texas
Panhandle, truck freight rates have increased from $1.65
to almost $2 per loaded mile since midsummer.
Railroads primary business is shipping grain to
export ports, but the interior market is still a major
concern for them.
Some grain merchants admit that it's a complex
situation, but many are blaming the merger of railroads
for the problems being faced from Texas to the Dakotas.
From the Texas Panhandle through Western Kansas, much
of the problem stems from a larger than expected wheat
harvest last summer. Although market conditions play a
part, that wheat is usually shipped out of the region by
fall to make room for corn and grain sorghum. This year,
much of the wheat is still in the country elevators and
there is no place to put the feedgrain as the farmers
bring it in. Some elevators have elected to dump it on
the ground. Others are selling as it arrives and sending
it on by truck.
Some elevators north of the Canadian River in the
Texas Panhandle traditionally dump grain on the ground
rather than add storage, but they usually have the sales
to move it quickly.
"A lot of that grain is what we're feeding the
cattle down here now," says Dean Rey, a grain trader
in Canyon, Texas. "It's moving from north to
south."
South of the Canadian River, there is enough storage
to prevent such problems.
While some of the problems are seasonal, a shortage of
rail cars and engines has complicated matters and made
them worse.
The flash-point for the transportation controversy is
the Union Pacific and Southern Pacific merger, which
formed the nation's largest railroad.
The UPSP, still trying to merge its two systems, is
faced with complaints from shippers and federal
regulators about clogged rail lines. Union Pacific Corp.
chairman Dick Davidson has told regulators that the
situation should be under control by the first of the
year.
Area feedyards are currently using corn fresh from
nearby harvests, but they are dependent upon grain
shipped in by rail during the winter and spring. The
cattle feeding operations in the Texas Panhandle and
Western Oklahoma are highly dependent on the rail
multi-unit movement of corn. Most of the corn is shipped
in 54 or 108 car units.
"Right now with the local harvest, I don't think
it's having that much of an impact," says Gill,
"but there's certainly a concern about later
on."
"The railroad keeps telling us that they're going
to perform," says Rey.
But that's also what the railroads were telling
exporters in Portland, Ore., when they canceled 80 unit
trains earlier this month.
"It's not a problem yet for the local
feedyards," Rey says. "We're doing fine."
But by March, April, May and into the summer, the area
becomes dependent on those trains. Normally the feedyards
in the Texas Panhandle will start needing grain shipped
in beginning around January or February.
The railroads are telling the industry and government
regulators that the problems should be straightened out
by then.
"That's basically what they're telling us,"
Rey says.
The 35-year veteran grain trader is adopting a wait
and see attitude.
Davidson claims that trying to merge the two rail
lines in the midst of the third-largest corn harvest in
history, a record soybean harvest and large wheat harvest
from last summer, coupled with a surge in their chemical
and plastics business, has caused logjams in their
system.
The railroad is scheduled to offer a more specific
plan and explanation of what is happening at a Surface
Transportation Board meeting in Washington this week.
While UPSP is trying to merge its systems, Burlington
Northern and Santa Fe, who have already merged, were also
facing shortages in rail cars.
"It's a pretty lousy deal," says David
Swinford of Dumas Co-Op Elevators and Mercantile in
Dumas.
Swinford says that while they can't get any rail cars
to move their grain, they were also notified last week
that their freight rates were going up again.
"That's what BNSF told us," Swinford says,
"and theyre the good ones."
He says that since the wheat harvest early last
summer, the railroads have raised their shipping rates
about 11 cents per bushel.
"Which means that we bought it based on 11 cents
cheaper freight than what we're having to pay, and we
have paid interest on it all this time because we do not
get our money until the car's shipped. We can't get
freight."
With the corn harvest finishing up and the grain
sorghum harvest in full swing, the question is where to
put all the grain.
"What's happened now because we've had our space
tied up with wheat," Swinford says, " is that a
lot of elevators either had to put wheat out on the
ground or put the corn on the ground. What most of them
have elected to do is not put either on the ground. They
sell the corn for whatever it will bring whenever it
comes in. Last year we paid the farmer 10 over Chicago
December futures. This year we're paying five under.
Those guys north of us are paying 15 under. That's 25
cents a bushel. They make 200 bushels to the acre, that's
$50 an acre. There's a million acres of it in this area.
That's 50 million bucks, and the railroad doesn't even
understand the problem."
Swinford, who is also a Republican state
representative from Dumas, has asked Speaker of the Texas
House of Representatives Pete Laney, D-Hale Center, to
have the General Investigating Committee look into the
matter.
"He's going to do that," Swinford says.
"What we want to investigate is what they said they
were going to do for us when they had these mergers and
what they've done for us."
Swinford says the railroads promised better service,
cheaper rates and more efficiency with the mergers.
"What we've had is foot-dragging, no service and
higher rates," Swinford complains. "There ought
to be some ground in between there."
He complains that he went to a Railroad Commission
hearing earlier this month in Fort Worth, but was
unimpressed with the railroads' public position.
"They managed to get up and run their mouths off
for 45 minutes without mentioning service or
customers," Swinford says. "Instead of coming
out here and moving freight for their revenue, they look
at their bottom line and say, 'We're not making enough
money. We need to go up on the freight.'"
If they did the work, they'd be making money, Swinford
says.
Not all elevator operators are as exercised as
Swinford, though they do remain frustrated.
"The railroads are at the busy time of year
anyhow," says Bill Wagner, grain merchant with
Attebury Grain, which operates more than 40 elevators
from Lubbock north into the Texas Panhandle. "The
merged railroads are experiencing some confusion in
absorbing the combinations."
This year in the wheat growing areas of the Texas
Panhandle, the Oklahoma Panhandle and up into Kansas,
Wagner says there was more wheat grown than they thought
they were going to have.
"We thought we were going to have a
freeze-out," he says. "With the cool wet
weather, we had secondary growth and actually had more
production than some of us thought might happen, so we
did have a little more wheat to handle than we
thought."
He points out that wheat was a carrying charge market
as the feed grains harvest began. It paid the elevators
to retain it and meter it out as prices went up. That
caused the elevators to still be filled with wheat, when
during many years that wheat would have already been
shipped and there would have been space available for
feed grains. All this is at a time, he says, when covered
grain hoppers are difficult to come by.
"Their fleet of cars for the most part on the
BNSF is up in the northern tier of states working,"
Wagner says, "so areas in Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas
are having difficulty getting these cars. That's much of
it all over."
He says the 10 to 15-day delays reported in Nebraska
probably hold true for the Texas Panhandle as well.
"It's a complex situation," Wagner says.
"These delays are certainly uniform. In some areas,
they are probably worse. There are a lot of dominoes in a
row when this starts happening."
In some places, he notes, producers are even having
difficulties finding a place to dump their grain.
"I've heard of them actually paying dump
fees," Wagner says. "I've heard of situations
up in Southwestern Kansas where if you're not a steady
customer of that country point, you can't go there. I
think everybody is trying to help as much as they can in
the industry, but at certain times you have to ration and
allocate. I guess that's happening. I do know that if you
do have a way to move something, you prefer not to have
your elevator full and overflowing and going on the
ground, so consequently some places are only dumping
grain that the farmer is selling. They don't have room to
warehouse it."
Like everyone else in agriculture, the risks are there
for the country elevators, he says. But while elevator
operators are used to quality, quantity and market risks,
now they're facing transportation risks.
Many elevators are going into the secondary market and
paying $200 to $225 a car just for access to cars.
"Once you get that, then you've got to pay the
current freight rates," Wagner says. "We've
also seen these railroads come in and raise their freight
rates during the marketing years."
In this part of the country, the new market year
begins June 1, for newcrop wheat.
"We sit here with an elevator system like ours;
we have to get bids to our farmers and we base that on
the transportation," Wagner says. "We base our
bids on what we can sell it for and what it's going to
take for us to get it there. Three or four months into
the year, they're raising the freight rates on us. It's
happening with the feed grains, corn, milo and soybeans.
This transportation portion of the equation is certainly
becoming pretty hairy."
While not all the transportation of grain is by rail,
the value of the transportation is based on what the
railroads do. The railroads are of primary importance in
the wheat trade because of the distances involved. Most
of the wheat is hauled long distances to ports for export
or to domestic flour mills in other parts of the country.
"The feed grains in the part of the country where
we live, for the most part, stay in the area,"
Wagner says. "We feed a lot of cattle in this area,
so corn and milo that's produced here stays in the area
and is warehoused and gets metered out to the feedyards
as needed. But you still have to go back and check values
of local consumption versus what it might bring delivered
to Mexico via rail or Southern California into the
chicken and egg market via rail."
But when the wheat hasn't been moved, then the
question becomes what to do with the feed grains as they
are harvested.
"We're really soaking up trucks out here on the
plains," Wagner says. "We're seeing some long
distance truck moves. There are some cheap values coming
up in Southern Kansas on corn, and they're running all
the way to Hereford on trucks."
Many feedyards have their own trucks or long-term
contracts with trucking firms, but in the long run, rail
transportation could be crucial.
And the current snafus could have ramifications much
farther afield.
Andy Kuhn of the Farmland Grain Division in Lincoln,
Neb., is worried about the bigger economic picture for
farmers.
"In the United States today, I feel like we're
really close to a farm boom. We have Southeast Asia, with
people with money who are willing to buy our product.
We've got Freedom to Farm (farm
policy)," Kuhn said.
"We could be fencerow to fencerow with 10 billion
bushels of corn that people want. And we can't get it
there," he said. "That's what scares me."
Customers of the railroads are also on edge because of
the pressure UP and Burlington Northern are putting on
shippers to load and unload railroad cars quickly.
UP gives elevators 15 hours after the arrival of rail
cars to get them loaded. Missing the deadline for a
100-car unit train costs the elevator $13,500. Burlington
Northern customers get 24 hours and are charged $50 a day
per car when they take longer.
But some grain shippers said that once they've been
hustled to hit the tight deadlines, the loaded cars sit
there because locomotives don't come along to pull them
away.
"It really makes you wonder why we've got to load
in 24 hours and then our employees watch the train sit
there for two weeks," said Don Comer of the Aurora
Co-op.
And there could be ramifications for the rail industry
as well.
The Surface Transportation Board is now looking at
another rail merger with CSX-Conrail-Norfolk Southern.
"I think probably what they're running into now
is a little anti-merger backlash," Attebury
Grains Wagner says. "Maybe this is a good
combination. Maybe it does provide efficiencies and
economies for everybody involved, but I think right now
we're just kind of crazy."
"Don't ever deregulate a monopoly," Swinford
advises.
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